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FAO warns that moderate El Niño conditions are present in the Pacific and models point to a possibly very strong event by year-end. The agency says effects vary across Africa, with drier conditions in western and central parts and flooding risk in the eastern Horn.
A strong El Niño threatens African crop output and food security, which could lift regional food import demand and feed-grain prices over time. The impact on global feed commodities is indirect.
fao.org2026年7月28日在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
