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FAO has issued an anticipatory action plan for October 2023 to March 2024 to address El Niño impacts on agriculture and food security. Forecasts show a greater than 80% chance El Niño persists through March-May 2024, with strength comparable to the six strongest events on record.
The plan calls for urgent funding for identified at-risk countries.
A strong El Niño raises the risk of drought in southern Africa, Southeast Asia and Central America and floods in other areas, which can cut maize and rice output and support prices. The humanitarian funding call itself does not move markets.
reliefweb.intFood, Agriculture Organization of the United Nations2023年11月3日在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 179 次看涨的天气事件之后，稻谷 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%（55% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.5%），20 个交易日内为 +2.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
