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The JRC MARS Bulletin reports that 1 October to 14 November 2022 was the warmest period in European records since 1991. Warm weather aided winter crop emergence, but southern Europe faces persistent rainfall deficits, delayed sowing and drought concerns in the Maghreb.
Dry conditions in southern Europe and North Africa raise risk to winter cereal yields and Maghreb import demand, a mild upside driver for wheat and barley prices.
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。