Oil prices fell about 5% over six sessions to their lowest since May 24, 2021, amid rising coronavirus cases and expectations of weaker fuel demand. Palm oil and canola futures also declined, with Malaysian palm oil down 2.4% and Winnipeg canola down 2%.
Canadian canola harvest forecasts were cut to 15-17 million tonnes, with some estimates as low as 12 million.
Lower crude prices reduce the appeal of biofuel feedstocks, pressuring vegetable oil prices, while tighter Canadian canola supply offers some support. Oilseed price direction depends on whether energy weakness persists.
在过去 565 次看跌的宏观事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.4%(41% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -5.9% 至 +3.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 312 次看跌的宏观事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.7%(38% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -5.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 -1.7%。
在过去 51 次看跌的宏观事件之后,棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.3%(35% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.1% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 -1.8%。
在过去 40 次看跌的宏观事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.8%(45% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.5% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -1.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Falling crude oil and weaker palm and canola prices in the prior sessions reduced biofuel-linked demand and gave a bearish lead into the 20 August selloff.