
Helima Croft of RBC Capital Markets said the continued collapse in oil prices signals that investors fear a recession in 2019. WTI fell below $45 for the first time since July 2017 and was down about 40 percent from its early-October highs despite an OPEC, Russia and allied pledge to cut 1.2 million barrels per day.
Recession fears point to weaker demand growth for crude, and the market is pricing that in despite announced supply cuts. Lower energy prices also reduce input costs for feed and ethanol, which can weigh on related commodity values.
在过去 565 次看跌的宏观事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.4%(41% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -5.9% 至 +3.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 312 次看跌的宏观事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.7%(38% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -5.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 -1.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Recession fears in 2019 dominated sentiment on Dec 24, overwhelming the OPEC+ cut pledge.