The U.S. Now Has a Nearly 90% Chance of Seeing El Niño This Summer

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,465건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+1.9%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.

• 2026. 3. 13.El Niño Watch: 62% Chance of Arrival This Summer, But Drew Lerner Warns Extreme Forecasts May Be Overblown - AgWeb+4.1%
• 2026. 1. 21.Timing of La Niña Exit, El Niño Entrance is Unclear, Raising Questions About Dryness for Spring and Summer - AgWeb+0.8%
• 2026. 10. 2.Record El Niño Behind Historic Rains Stalling Harvest Across the U.S. - AgWeb-1.6%
• 2017. 5. 19.El Niño again? This is why it’s hard to tell. | Climate Change+1.3%
• 2026. 5. 14.US forecaster says El Nino has 82% chance of developing by July | Reuters-0.4%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,079건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.3% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+2.0%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.

• 2026. 3. 13.El Niño Watch: 62% Chance of Arrival This Summer, But Drew Lerner Warns Extreme Forecasts May Be Overblown - AgWeb-3.7%
• 2026. 1. 21.Timing of La Niña Exit, El Niño Entrance is Unclear, Raising Questions About Dryness for Spring and Summer - AgWeb+1.4%
• 2026. 10. 2.Record El Niño Behind Historic Rains Stalling Harvest Across the U.S. - AgWeb+0.3%
• 2017. 5. 19.El Niño again? This is why it’s hard to tell. | Climate Change-0.6%
• 2026. 5. 14.US forecaster says El Nino has 82% chance of developing by July | Reuters-1.3%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,072건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 55%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+2.3%), 20거래일 동안 +0.3%.

• 2026. 3. 13.El Niño Watch: 62% Chance of Arrival This Summer, But Drew Lerner Warns Extreme Forecasts May Be Overblown - AgWeb-0.2%
• 2024. 3. 14.US forecaster sees higher chance of La Nina conditions this summer | Reuters+0.4%
• 2017. 5. 19.El Niño again? This is why it’s hard to tell. | Climate Change+3.0%
• 2026. 6. 1.Record global temperatures possible as chance of a 'super El Niño' grows-2.6%
• 2017. 3. 9.El Nino may arrive this summer and fall+0.7%