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2026. 10. 2.날씨미국

Record El Niño Behind Historic Rains Stalling Harvest Across the U.S.

Record September rainfall stalled harvest from Nebraska to Ohio, with Lincoln, Nebraska setting a daily precipitation record of 10.4 inches. Iowa recorded its wettest September on record, and some areas of the Corn Belt received more than 30 inches of combined August and September rain.

Nutrien's Eric Snodgrass says the El Niño pattern is still strengthening and has not yet peaked.

중요한 이유

Excess rain delays harvest, raises quality risks and may reduce yields in key Corn Belt states, supporting corn and soybean prices. The strengthening El Niño adds uncertainty for the winter outlook.

영향 대상옥수수▲대두▲

출처 1건
agweb.comTyne Morgan2026. 10. 2.

가격 반응 및 이력

옥수수▲상승현재까지1d -0.5%5d -1.6%20d -7.0%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,465건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+1.9%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.

2026. 8. 10.El Niño's Growing Threat: A Slower Harvest at Home, A Bigger Problem in Brazil - AgWeb+3.0%
2023. 5. 24.The U.S. Now Has a Nearly 90% Chance of Seeing El Niño This Summer - AgWeb-3.4%
2022. 10. 21.Unease ahead of 2023 grain harvest as record U.S. dryness spreads-0.9%
2026. 10. 1.Historic El Niño puts Brazil crops at risk as Argentina gains a weather edge-1.2%
2018. 1. 26.Daily rains slow Brazil’s early bean harvest+0.3%

대두▲상승현재까지1d -0.4%5d +0.3%20d -5.0%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,079건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.3% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+2.0%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.

2023. 5. 24.The U.S. Now Has a Nearly 90% Chance of Seeing El Niño This Summer - AgWeb-1.7%
2026. 8. 10.El Niño's Growing Threat: A Slower Harvest at Home, A Bigger Problem in Brazil - AgWeb+1.5%
2025. 5. 15.Argentina's soy farmers race ahead with harvest to beat the rains-0.4%
2026. 10. 1.Historic El Niño puts Brazil crops at risk as Argentina gains a weather edge+0.3%
2021. 4. 21.As Corn Climbs Above $6, Here's What's Behind the Market Move - AgWeb+5.3%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

옥수수 CORN · GP ▸

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대두 SOY · GP ▸

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