El Nino may arrive this summer and fall

과거 중립 날씨 이벤트 445건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 52%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+1.6%), 20거래일 동안 +0.7%.

• 2017. 8. 10.How will summer drought and this fall’s corn crop affect feeder cattle-4.5%
• 2020. 5. 14.U.S. forecaster sees 65% chance for no El Nino, La Nina during summer-0.0%
• 2026. 2. 17.Climate Prediction Center: La Niña Likely to Fade, El Niño May Develop by Summer - Southeast AgNET-1.0%
• 2023. 11. 16.Fall Rains Ease Midwest Drought and Replenish Mississippi River - Farmer Mac+0.0%
• 2025. 6. 6.Texas Agriculture • June 6, 2025 • El Niño nor La Niña likely to impact Lone Star State this summer-2.1%

과거 중립 날씨 이벤트 324건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.0% 변동(상승 52%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+1.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.7%.

• 2023. 5. 5.‘Developing’ El Nino may hit India’s maize, soya and rice output, says FAO - The HinduBusinessLine-0.4%
• 2020. 5. 14.U.S. forecaster sees 65% chance for no El Nino, La Nina during summer+1.3%
• 2026. 2. 17.Climate Prediction Center: La Niña Likely to Fade, El Niño May Develop by Summer - Southeast AgNET+0.1%
• 2025. 2. 14.The Mississippi River levels are recharging but challenges may still arise for shippers and producers - RFD+0.9%
• 2025. 4. 21.El Nino shift: Impact on crop futures and global agricultural outlook+1.3%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,072건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 55%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+2.3%), 20거래일 동안 +0.3%.

• 2019. 3. 15.El Nino Odds Favorable Through the Summer - ProAg+2.9%
• 2024. 5. 9.El Nino and La Nina | Red River Farm Network+2.0%
• 2026. 3. 13.El Niño Watch: 62% Chance of Arrival This Summer, But Drew Lerner Warns Extreme Forecasts May Be Overblown - AgWeb-0.2%
• 2018. 10. 24.Hot, dry summer ahead as El Nino sets in - Grain Central-0.3%
• 2023. 6. 1.El Nino may hammer Asian farms with dry weather, but shower American growers-3.6%