El Niño Watch: 62% Chance of Arrival This Summer, But Drew Lerner Warns Extreme Forecasts May Be Overblown

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,465건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+1.9%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.

• 2026. 7. 20.El Niño casts a shadow over agri markets, but global food fears may be overblown | articles | ING THINK+3.9%
• 2023. 5. 24.The U.S. Now Has a Nearly 90% Chance of Seeing El Niño This Summer - AgWeb-3.4%
• 2026. 1. 21.Timing of La Niña Exit, El Niño Entrance is Unclear, Raising Questions About Dryness for Spring and Summer - AgWeb+0.8%
• 2024. 10. 10.US forecaster sees 60% chance of La Niña weather in September-November-2.6%
• 2025. 5. 20.It's Not Just Drought Meteorologists Are Concerned About This Summer, It's Also Heat - AgWeb+1.6%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,079건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.3% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+2.0%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.

• 2023. 5. 24.The U.S. Now Has a Nearly 90% Chance of Seeing El Niño This Summer - AgWeb-1.7%
• 2026. 1. 21.Timing of La Niña Exit, El Niño Entrance is Unclear, Raising Questions About Dryness for Spring and Summer - AgWeb+1.4%
• 2024. 10. 10.US forecaster sees 60% chance of La Niña weather in September-November-3.9%
• 2025. 5. 20.It's Not Just Drought Meteorologists Are Concerned About This Summer, It's Also Heat - AgWeb+1.1%
• 2024. 4. 18.IRI Summer Forecast Points to Western Corn Belt Dryness Due to La Nina Influence+1.4%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,072건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 55%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+2.3%), 20거래일 동안 +0.3%.

• 2023. 5. 24.The U.S. Now Has a Nearly 90% Chance of Seeing El Niño This Summer - AgWeb-2.4%
• 2024. 3. 14.US forecaster sees higher chance of La Nina conditions this summer | Reuters+0.4%
• 2017. 3. 9.El Nino may arrive this summer and fall+0.7%
• 2024. 10. 10.US forecaster sees 60% chance of La Niña weather in September-November-0.5%
• 2023. 6. 8.Extreme weather expected as El Nino climate pattern returns, US forecaster says | Reuters-0.0%