
The USDA Economic Research Service forecasts US egg prices will fall 29.3% in 2026 versus 2025, with beef and veal prices rising 8.7%. Egg production is projected higher this year, with fewer new bird flu detections in early 2026 and enough replacement pullets.
Retail egg prices were 20.6% lower in September 2026 than a year earlier.
Higher egg output points to ample supply and lower egg prices, while tighter cattle supply supports beef prices. The beef forecast suggests continued strength in cattle and feeder demand.
After 269 past bullish report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.