
The Subeha PACS cooperative center in Barabanki, Uttar Pradesh, has run out of DAP for about a week and is nearly out of NPK, with only a few bags left. Farmers arriving for fertiliser during the rabi sowing season are leaving empty-handed, and the society has requested fresh stock, with about 500 bags expected by evening.
Local DAP shortages at the distribution level during peak sowing can delay planting and shift farmers toward NPK, a fertiliser that is priced about 550 rupees higher per bag. This is a small, localised signal rather than a market-wide supply shock.
After 31 past bullish logistics events, DAP moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.9%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.