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Soybeans and wheat rallied the day after President Trump's inauguration as traders reacted to the absence of immediate new tariffs. Soybeans gained over 23 cents and wheat nearly 20 cents, aided by a roughly 1% drop in the US dollar.
Analysts cautioned that fundamentals were largely unchanged and the rally could be short-lived.
Easing trade-tension expectations and a weaker dollar improve US export competitiveness, supporting soybean and wheat prices, though the move is driven more by sentiment than supply.
ruralradio.comJan 21, 2025After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 39 past bearish trade events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (26% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.0%), and -0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Confirms a roughly 1% dollar drop on Jan 21 after inauguration, with the weaker dollar being transmitted into grain prices.
