Per market sources cited Oct 21, 2022, China's soybean replacement crush margin surged fivefold in a month, prompting Chinese crushers to raise October and November soybean demand estimates. Tight spot supply from Brazil and delayed U.S. loadings on the Mississippi are making shipments hard to secure.
Strong Chinese crush demand and tight Brazilian and U.S. supply support soybean and soymeal prices, though high prices may soon cap buying.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.