
Ukraine exported 7.1 million tons of grain and pulses in the 2026/27 marketing year through November 13, down 33% from last season, according to the Ministry of Agrarian Policy and Food citing State Customs Service data. Wheat exports fell 39% to 4.1 million tons and barley fell 55%, while corn exports rose 5% to 2.4 million tons.
Blocked Black Sea ports are cutting Ukrainian export volumes and pushing down Ukrainian corn export prices to two-year lows, which weighs on world corn and wheat prices and shifts demand toward other origins. USDA has also lowered its Ukraine wheat and corn export forecasts.
After 363 past bearish logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.