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European and Asian spot LNG prices spiked to about $10.44 and $10.46 per MMBtu in the third week of April after Iran-Israel missile attacks, then eased to about $9.2 and $10.135. Norwegian pipeline supply fell 11% week-on-week to 273.8 MMcmd, with Snohvit's gas leak during maintenance.
Norwegian supply outages and geopolitical risk support European and Asian gas prices, but weak demand in price-setting regions caps the upside. The effect on feed commodities comes mainly through energy and fertilizer costs.
ajot.comAJOTApr 25, 2024After 136 past bullish geopolitics events, Natural Gas moved a median +2.7% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -1.8% to +8.8%), and +4.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
