
An 11 November conference in Padua, attended by over 100 people, discussed African swine fever, avian influenza and lumpy skin disease in Italy. Pig farmers said farms cannot sell animals if wild boar near them test positive for African swine fever, even with strict biosecurity, and called for wild boar population control.
Disease restrictions on Italian pig and poultry farms reduce local meat output and raise feed demand only marginally, so the effect on feed prices is limited.
After 645 past disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.