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Crude oil delivered in Europe has fallen almost a third since early October as Middle East exports recovered. Diesel prices have fallen only about a tenth, and supply remains tight with lower availability.
Diesel supply stays constrained while crude prices fall, keeping road and logistics costs elevated for feed transport and supporting diesel-linked price pressure.
iru.orgNov 13, 2026After 105 past bullish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.4% to +1.8%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
