Great Britain milk deliveries fell an estimated 4.1% year-on-year in October 2026 to about 1,053 million litres, averaging 33.99 million litres a day, according to AHDB's October dairy market review. Supplies remain above the five-year average and are the second-best October in a decade, while milk year to date is 2.6% below 2025.
Lower British milk supply, pressured by rising forage, fuel and fertiliser costs and bluetongue, tightens dairy availability and supports milk prices, though weak fat values limit the price support from commodity markets.
After 237 past bullish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.6%), and +1.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.