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Oil prices fell more than 5% on Thursday, putting them on track for their biggest weekly drop of the year. The decline followed weak US manufacturing data, rising shale output, softer refinery demand, and concerns that the US-China trade war would hurt global economic demand.
Weak manufacturing data and trade-war concerns reduce expected energy and industrial demand, pressuring crude and fuel prices. Lower energy costs also weigh on biofuel margins and related feed inputs.
businessinsider.comTheron MohamedMay 24, 2019After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 79 past bearish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -5.7% to +1.7%), and -1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Attributes the over 5% Thursday fall to weak manufacturing data, shale output growth and trade-war demand concerns.
Oil fell over 5% on trade-war and weak demand worries (biggest weekly drop of the year), a sentiment and demand shock that dragged diesel futures lower.
Cites weak US manufacturing, rising shale output and trade-war demand worries as drivers of the drop of more than 5%.
