
Oil prices plunged deeper into a bear market on Wednesday as fears grew over the rapidly spreading coronavirus. Economists warned the outbreak could trigger a severe global slowdown or recession, including in the United States.
Weaker expected fuel demand lowers crude prices, which feeds into biofuel feedstock and feed-cost sentiment. Lower energy prices also weaken the value of biofuel-linked co-products.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Deeper bear market with recession warnings amplified the demand-destruction sentiment.