
New World screwworm cases continue to spread in Texas and southern New Mexico and have reached Arizona. New Mexico has confirmed new cases in cattle and trapped flies across several southern counties, and the USDA reports 128 US cases since June with 65 active.
Spreading screwworm infestations in cattle raise livestock losses and movement restrictions, tightening cattle supply and supporting feeder and live cattle prices.
After 148 past bullish disease events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.2%), and +1.4% over 20.
After 122 past bullish disease events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.