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China and Hong Kong stocks fell after Trump said his administration was discussing a 10% punitive duty on Chinese imports as early as next month. The onshore yuan weakened about 0.2% even though the central bank set its midpoint at a two-month high.
A proposed 10% tariff on Chinese goods increases the likelihood of Chinese retaliation against US farm exports, which would weigh on US feed grain and soybean prices.
reuters.comJan 22, 2025After 31 past bullish policy events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.3%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 369 past bearish policy events, Soybeans moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 310 past bearish policy events, Corn moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
