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Chinese stocks and the offshore renminbi fell after Trump said he could impose a 10% tariff on China from February. The renminbi weakened 0.3% to 7.29 per dollar before recovering slightly, and gold rose to an 11-week high.
A new tariff threat on China raises the risk of Chinese retaliation against US farm exports, which would pressure US soybean and feed grain prices.
ft.comArjun Neil AlimJan 22, 2025After 31 past bullish policy events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.3%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 369 past bearish policy events, Soybeans moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 310 past bearish policy events, Corn moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
