EUR/USD Price Forecast — EURUSD (1.1078) 1.1270 Upside Target on ECB Hike Bets vs 19-Month Dollar High

After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.

• Jun 23, 2026Dollar climbs to 13-month high on Fed hike bets, safe-haven bid | Reuters+0.3%
• Jun 24, 2026U.S. dollar rises to 13-month high on Fed rate hike views-0.1%
• Jun 17, 2021Dollar surges to two-month high on Fed rate-hike projection+1.1%
• Jun 30, 2026US dollar holds near 13-month high as yen's slide, Fed rate hike bets boost the greenback-0.1%
• Sep 23, 2024US Dollar Forecast: EUR/USD Falls as Weak Eurozone Data Fuels ECB Rate Cut Bets | FXEmpire-0.2%

After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Sep 23, 2024US Dollar Forecast: EUR/USD Falls as Weak Eurozone Data Fuels ECB Rate Cut Bets | FXEmpire0.0%
• Oct 11, 2016Dollar climbs to 7-month peak on rate hike bets; pound plunges-1.4%
• Apr 16, 2024Dollar hits 5-month high against euro; yen weakest since 1990+0.1%
• Jun 14, 2022EUR/USD Euro Set to Hit Parity With Dollar in a Month, Wells Fargo Says - Bloomberg+1.1%
• Nov 11, 2024Euro hits near 7-month low vs dollar as tariff worries weigh | Reuters-1.2%