
The Thai National Swine Raisers Association said farm-gate hog prices are 72 baht/kg, but small farmers' production costs exceed 71 baht/kg and net realized prices fall to about 68 baht after transport. Smuggling of pork across Mekong, Myanmar and Laos borders continues, raising fears of African swine fever returning, and small producers struggle to get bank credit.
Feed makers face soaring feed costs (over 65% of hog production cost) and thin farmer margins that could shrink Thai hog herds, reducing demand for feed ingredients like corn and soymeal; ASF resurgence would sharply cut domestic demand.
After 145 past neutral disease events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 98 past neutral disease events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.5%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.