African swine fever: China’s chicken farmers feeling the pinch as pork crisis takes toll on poultry industry

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.

After 177 past bullish disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.7%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Apr 27, 2019China chicken prices jump on supply shortage as consumers swap poultry for pricey pork | South China Morning Post-1.3%
• Aug 26, 2019Poultry Prices and China’s African Swine Fever - EMERGING-0.4%
• Oct 24, 2018African swine fever hits Chinese pork industry in run-up to New Year | China | The Guardian+3.1%
• Feb 1, 2019Year of the Pig: Swine fever threatens China’s pork industry | CNN-1.0%
• Mar 29, 2019Hog prices rise sharply in the U.S. after new data shows toll of African swine fever on China's herd+3.0%

After 145 past neutral disease events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +0.0% over 20.

• Sep 16, 2019China corn industry also hit by African swine fever as demand for pig feed drops | South China Morning Post+3.4%
• Jan 23, 2019ASF Continues Spread in China and FMD on the Move in South Africa – American Association of Swine Veterinarians+0.7%
• Jan 1, 2019African Swine Fever in China: An Update+1.4%
• Jul 26, 2019China's duck farmers cash in as disease slashes pork output-2.2%
• Jan 14, 2020African swine fever ten years on: the lessons learned and the way forward+0.5%