South Africa is entering an El Niño drought season after a record 17.6-million-tonne maize harvest, against annual needs of about 12 million tonnes. The discussion says foot-and-mouth disease has restricted beef farmers’ access to export markets, while vegetables and meat may remain affordable and starch prices could rise slightly.
The large maize crop adds to domestic feed availability and may ease pressure on feed costs, while disease-related export barriers can keep more beef on the local market and weigh on cattle prices.
After 357 past bearish weather events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 18 past bearish weather events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.7% to +0.9%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.