
Vietnam’s export quotes rose on November 11: Jasmine rice was quoted at $565–569 per tonne, fragrant 5% broken rice at $535–540, and white 5% broken rice at $442–446. The article also reported forecasts of below-average Philippine rice production, including a forecast of 19 million tonnes for 2026, and a 17.8% year-on-year decline in Philippine third-quarter paddy output.
Lower Philippine production could sustain import demand and support export prices from Vietnam and other suppliers. Rising Vietnamese quotes point to firmer regional rice costs for buyers.
After 179 past bullish weather events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.5%), and +2.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.