
Vietnam's rice exports are projected to fall to 6.5-7.0 million tonnes this year from a record 8.1 million tonnes last year, as Vietnam shifts toward higher-quality, higher-priced rice. Demand from Indonesia, the Philippines, Malaysia, China and Africa is rising as El Nino is expected to last into mid-2024, and India's 5% broken parboiled rice reached a record price.
Lower Vietnamese export availability and firm Asian demand tighten the global rice trade and support higher world rice prices.
After 179 past bullish weather events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.5%), and +2.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.