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Vietnam’s meteorological service forecasts a rain deficit and high temperatures in the Central Highlands, the country’s main coffee-growing region, from February to April 2027. It gives a 96% chance that El Niño will remain very strong through January, and the agriculture ministry has urged local departments to prepare for drought.
Vietnam is forecast to produce 31.4 million 60-kilogram bags of robusta in 2026/27.
Dry, hot conditions could stress coffee crops in the world’s largest robusta-producing country, threatening supply and lending support to robusta prices. The impact depends on how much rainfall deficits reduce yields.
wikifarmer.comNov 11, 2026After 2,467 past weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.7%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 1,964 past weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,773 past weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 361 past weather events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
