
Soybean futures rose after the November USDA WASDE lowered projected 2026/27 U.S. and global ending stocks more than traders expected, triggering short-covering. Strength in soybean oil and broader vegetable-oil markets added support, while weaker crude oil and macroeconomic uncertainty limited gains.
Lower projected stocks imply a tighter soybean supply outlook, supporting soybean prices; strength in vegetable oils also lends support to soybean oil. The price impact is tempered by competitive physical offers and pressure from lower crude oil.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 149 past bullish report events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.