Trilateral talks begin in Abu Dhabi, with grain exports from Ukraine and Russia also on the agenda

After 38 past neutral geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.8% over 20.

• Oct 26, 2026Ukraine , US , Russia expected to hold trilateral talks in November , says Zelensky-0.4%
• Jun 22, 2024How Russia Exports Ukrainian Grain As Its Own: An Investigation-6.8%
• Nov 29, 2018Russia Does Not Expect Ukraine Crisis to Have Big Impact on Grain Exports - Business Insider+1.4%
• Nov 30, 2018Grain exports not impacted by Russia, Ukraine tension | 2018-11-30 | World Grain+2.7%
• Apr 4, 2022Prospects for Australian Wheat Exports Amid the Ukraine-Russia Conflict —Australian Institute of International Affairs-7.3%

After 31 past neutral geopolitics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.

• Oct 26, 2026Ukraine , US , Russia expected to hold trilateral talks in November , says Zelensky-1.0%
• Jun 22, 2024How Russia Exports Ukrainian Grain As Its Own: An Investigation-7.2%
• Feb 29, 2024Food as the “Silent Weapon”: Russia’s Gains and Ukraine’s Losses+3.7%
• Mar 25, 2025Russia, Ukraine agree to avoid attacks on grain ships, energy infrastructure on Black Sea-1.5%
• Apr 3, 2025Ceasefire or stalemate? Grain exports at risk in Black Sea deal - Food & Agribusiness+2.2%