
Farmers in Begusarai, Bihar, reportedly paid Rs 350–400 for a bag of urea officially priced at Rs 266, and up to Rs 1,900 for DAP priced at Rs 1,350. A farmers’ organization alleged fertilizer black marketing and possible diversion to Nepal, and called for adequate supply and enforcement of official prices.
Alleged diversion and overcharging point to constrained local availability during the rabi sowing season. If supply remains tight, buyers may face higher urea and DAP costs.
After 176 past bullish trade events, Urea moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.4%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 193 past bullish trade events, DAP moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -0.3% to +1.8%), and +1.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.