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Natural gas prices and related ETFs surged on Monday as long-range forecasts pointed to heavy heating demand across the Midwest and East. The United States Natural Gas Fund gained 12.7 percent, and Nymex futures rose 13.3 percent to $3.51 per mmBtu.
Bespoke Weather Service said a significant cold shot was expected through Jan. 22, with further cold possible into early February.
Forecasts of sustained, near-record gas-weighted degree days raise expected heating demand and draw down storage. This supports natural gas prices and leveraged gas products.
etftrends.comMax ChenJan 14, 2019After 221 past bullish weather events, NATGAS moved a median +3.3% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -5.2% to +14.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Long-range forecasts of heavy heating demand through Jan. 22 and possibly into February drove Nymex futures up about 13%, confirming the weather-demand mechanism.
