Natural gas futures rose about 7% to $3.52 per MMBtu on Monday as weather forecasts strengthened expectations of a cold spell. Forecasters projected above-average heating degree days starting November 9, with demand peaking around November 14.
Forecast heating demand over the coming weeks supports natural gas prices, though model volatility makes the price path uncertain.
After 221 past bullish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median +3.3% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -5.2% to +14.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Cold forecasts with above-average heating degree days from Nov 9 and demand peaking around Nov 14 raised demand expectations and drew speculative buying.