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Natural gas ETFs jumped on Tuesday as warmer forecasts lifted futures 6% to $2.298 per MMBtu. The United States Natural Gas Fund rose 6.2%, while the Bloomberg natural gas ETN gained 5%.
Gas was still down about 15% year to date.
Warmer forecasts for early summer cooling demand, especially in the Southeast, lift NATGAS prices by boosting expected gas-fired power burn.
After 221 past bullish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median +3.3% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -5.2% to +14.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.