
The Bank for Agriculture and Agricultural Cooperatives research centre forecasts rising prices in May for paddy rice, jasmine and sticky rice, maize, sugar, cassava, palm oil and pork, while rubber prices are expected to fall. The rise follows export restrictions by India and Vietnam and drought in Thailand and Vietnam.
Export curbs by major rice exporters and drought-related supply concerns support higher prices for rice, maize and cassava used in feed, while palm oil strength also lifts vegetable oil costs.
After 168 past bullish policy events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.8% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.7% to +2.1%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 318 past bullish policy events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Forecast of rising paddy rice prices tied to India and Vietnam export restrictions and Thai/Vietnam drought reinforces bullish supply-side sentiment on the same day.