Oil down over USD7 a barrel in post-settlement trade

After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.

• Jun 23, 2025Oil settles down 7% after Iran attacks US military base in Qatar, not tankers-12.2%
• Feb 1, 2026Oil settles down over 4% on US-Iran de-escalation, easing supply worries | Reuters-1.6%
• Apr 14, 2026Oil Down 3% as New US-Iran Talks Seen-9.6%
• Mar 10, 2022Oil settles down again; Russia to fulfil supply contracts-12.7%
• Nov 21, 2025Oil prices settle down at lowest in a month as US seeks Russia-Ukraine peace deal | MarketScreener-2.0%

After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.

• Jun 23, 2025Oil settles down 7% after Iran attacks US military base in Qatar, not tankers-11.9%
• Feb 1, 2026Oil settles down over 4% on US-Iran de-escalation, easing supply worries | Reuters-3.1%
• Apr 14, 2026Oil Down 3% as New US-Iran Talks Seen-10.2%
• Mar 10, 2022Oil settles down again; Russia to fulfil supply contracts-11.0%
• Nov 21, 2025Oil prices settle down at lowest in a month as US seeks Russia-Ukraine peace deal | MarketScreener+0.2%