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Irregular rainfall is creating concern as Brazil’s 2026/27 soybean planting advances in the Center-West. Cepea said climate uncertainty has limited declines in soybean prices, while ample Northern Hemisphere supplies have weighed on beans and weaker domestic demand for soybean meal and oil has pushed their prices lower.
Planting-weather uncertainty provides support to soybean prices by raising supply risk, while existing meal and oil stocks and softer demand pressure crush-product prices and processing margins.
vgnoticias.com.brRedação/VGNAgroNov 9, 2026After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 118 past bearish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -3.2% to +0.4%), and -1.6% over 20.
After 49 past bearish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -3.2% to +1.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
