Freight traffic at Russia’s southern ports falls sharply amid security risks

After 283 past bullish logistics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.3%), and -0.1% over 20.

• Aug 4, 2026Russia’s grain exports fell 38% in July due to port attacks+0.1%
• Dec 9, 2022Drastic freight rate fall in Ukraine's deep sea ports brings no relief for grain trade - Fastmarkets+10.3%
• Mar 10, 2026Black Sea freight rates rise amid soaring bunker fuel prices-1.3%
• Aug 19, 2025Ships Queue at Russian Grain Port-1.7%
• Oct 23, 2026Even an elevenfold increase in Baltic port shipments fails to offset Russia’s loss of Black Sea export capacity-0.6%

After 285 past bullish logistics events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and +0.8% over 20.

• Aug 4, 2026Russia’s grain exports fell 38% in July due to port attacks-0.5%
• Apr 9, 2025Strike halts grain ship traffic at Argentina's Rosario ports+3.4%
• May 9, 2017Mississippi River traffic closure causes slowdown for SEMO Port Authority+0.6%
• Oct 9, 2023Amazon drought chokes river traffic, threatens northern corn exports-0.2%
• Dec 9, 2022Drastic freight rate fall in Ukraine's deep sea ports brings no relief for grain trade - Fastmarkets+1.9%