New challenges face efforts to ensure stable nitrogen fertilizer supplies and prices this winter and spring

China's nitrogen fertilizer industry association said seasonal buying patterns, higher feedstock costs, and steadily rising demand are complicating efforts to maintain supply and stable prices. It forecast spring 2027 agricultural nitrogen demand up 2.5% year over year and nitrogen fertilizer output up 5.9% in 2026, with new urea capacity expected to raise annual capacity to 77.7 million tonnes by year-end.