
The euro rose about 0.4% against the dollar, rebounding from Friday’s lows as risk sentiment improved and Brent remained below $100. Germany’s September trade surplus narrowed to €15.6 billion as imports rose more than exports, missing expectations.
Lower oil offers relief to energy-importing Eurozone economies, while improving risk appetite supported the euro. Cheaper energy may reduce costs, but the article does not identify a direct feed-commodity supply or demand change.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.