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Research modeled the effects of Mexican feeder cattle imports to the United States remaining below historical levels through 2031, following restrictions introduced in 2025 over New World screwworm concerns. It projected that fewer imports would leave US cattle prices higher than otherwise, even if cattle retained in Mexico were fed and processed there, adding Mexican beef to the market.
Reduced Mexican feeder cattle flows would tighten US cattle availability and support US cattle prices, while greater Mexican beef production could add competition in beef markets. The study projects that the latter would not fully offset the price effect of lower imports.
aginfo.netNov 9, 2026After 78 past bullish trade events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.2%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 47 past bullish trade events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
