Beef prices may rise as Canadian ranchers shrink cattle herds, fearing Trump tariffs

After 47 past bullish trade events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.0%), and +1.5% over 20.

• Nov 10, 2023US reduces beef exports as cattle herd shrinks, squeezing Tyson Foods | Reuters+0.2%
• Jan 10, 2022Cow-Calf Corner: Beef and cattle trade boosting cattle markets - Texas & Southwestern Cattle Raisers Association+0.4%
• Oct 27, 2026U.S. Cattle Prices Face New Pressure as Mexican Imports Remain Restricted-4.1%
• Jan 20, 2026US lean beef trimmings import prices rise on China demand, tight supply+1.3%
• Aug 9, 2021Cow-Calf Corner: Beef and cattle trade rebounds from the pandemic; bull management after the breeding season; making your ranch drought proof - Texas & Southwestern Cattle Raisers Association-1.1%

After 78 past bullish trade events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.2%), and +0.5% over 20.

• Nov 10, 2023US reduces beef exports as cattle herd shrinks, squeezing Tyson Foods | Reuters-1.2%
• Oct 17, 2024Australia cashes in on beef exports as US cattle herd shrinks | Reuters+0.3%
• Jan 10, 2022Cow-Calf Corner: Beef and cattle trade boosting cattle markets - Texas & Southwestern Cattle Raisers Association-0.2%
• Aug 25, 2026Flesh-eating screwworms, beef price surge collide as Mexico resumes cattle exports to U.S. - Los Angeles Times-1.1%
• Oct 27, 2026U.S. Cattle Prices Face New Pressure as Mexican Imports Remain Restricted-3.0%