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President Trump announced a pause on tariffs, triggering a sharp rally in equities and the Australian dollar. A $39 billion 10-year Treasury auction drew solid demand, with a high allocation to indirect bidders often seen as a proxy for foreign central banks.
A tariff pause lowers near-term trade-war risk for export-oriented commodities and lifts risk appetite, which can support currencies like the Aussie and firm demand expectations for US farm exports. The effect on feed grain and oilseed prices is indirect and depends on whether the pause holds.
reuters.comJamie McGeeverApr 9, 2025After 39 past bearish trade events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (26% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.0%), and -0.8% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
