Dollar lower after U.S. tariffs on Mexico paused for a month

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.

After 39 past bearish trade events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (26% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.0%), and -0.8% over 20.

• Feb 4, 2025US dollar edges lower as China tariffs kick in-0.4%
• May 31, 2019Forex Market: US tariffs on Mexico, US-China trade war in focus-0.4%
• Aug 1, 2019Dollar falls against yen after Trump whacks China with more tariffs | Reuters+1.1%
• Feb 20, 2026Dollar dips after Supreme Court rules against Trump's tariffs | Reuters-0.3%
• Apr 9, 2025Trading Day: Boom! Trump tariff pause sparks monster rally-2.4%

After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.

• Dec 10, 2025Terrain | Mexico: A Long-Run Export Engine for U.S. Grains-1.2%
• Jun 8, 2019Trump calls off tariffs after Mexico vows to tighten borders+5.9%
• Feb 15, 2018Sorghum takes hit as China retaliates for tariffs on solar panels-0.2%
• Jul 28, 2017Mexico Won't Drop U.S. as Supplier Because of NAFTA Anxiety - Perdue-1.7%
• Nov 29, 2022Mexico open to deal with U.S. on GMO corn as farmers demand clarity over ban | Reuters-3.8%