
Arkansas soybean harvest was 94% complete, cotton harvest 92%, and peanut harvest 78%, according to USDA statistics. Recent rain briefly slowed fieldwork, but drier conditions were expected to help producers finish; reported cotton yields and fiber quality were mostly favorable.
Continued harvest progress brings crops into the available supply sooner, with little indication of a major disruption from the brief weather delay. Favorable cotton yield and quality reports may support supply, but the regional update is unlikely to move broader markets materially.
After 363 past bearish weather events, Soybeans moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.