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The week's grain and dairy markets saw corn and wheat under heavy selling pressure while soybeans and meal gained. Corn futures fell to a three-month low, with US exports running 6% below the five-year average and a possible rail strike weighing on sentiment.
The EU corn crop estimate was cut to 53.3 million tonnes, and the US dollar index fell to its lowest weekly close since August.
A possible rail strike threatens grain movement and could widen basis, while a weaker dollar and firmer soybean complex support protein meal prices. Slow corn exports keep the corn feed price under pressure.
totalfarmmarketing.comDustin JonassonDec 2, 2022After 359 past bearish logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 137 past bearish logistics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.0%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 206 past bullish logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.6%), and +1.4% over 20.
After 167 past bullish logistics events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.9%), and -1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
