
Hurricane Ida damaged more Gulf Coast grain terminals, including a second Cargill facility in Westwego, Louisiana, while power outages kept others shut. The lower Mississippi River was closed to vessel traffic with sunken barges and debris blocking the channel.
Urea barge prices from New Orleans also jumped from $450 to $552 per ton.
The Gulf handles about 60% of US grain exports, so weeks of stalled loadings and river closure delay shipments, pressure US cash grain and soybean prices, and raise barge freight costs.
After 359 past bearish logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 297 past bearish logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.8%), and +0.7% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 49 past bullish logistics events, Urea moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.2%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Hurricane Ida disrupted Mississippi River logistics and sent New Orleans urea barge prices from $450 to $552/t, a direct supply-side shock matching the move window.
Lower Mississippi closure with sunken barges and debris, plus damaged terminals, disrupted barge movements and unloading, tightening barge availability and pushing St. Louis freight rates higher in the days up to Sept 7.
Hurricane Ida damage and the closed lower Mississippi pushed New Orleans urea barge prices sharply higher (from $450 to $552/t), a direct supply and logistics shock that fits a one-day jump ending 2021-09-02.
Further Ida damage and a closed lower Mississippi reinforced the supply and logistics squeeze and the barge price jump.
Further Ida damage and the river closure reinforced supply and logistics tightness and the barge price spike heading into the move.
Describes Ida-related terminal damage and river closure with urea barge prices jumping from $450 to $552/t, corroborating the supply disruption, but it is dated after the move.