Ukrainian grain exports rebound as ship arrivals near pre-war levels

After 137 past bearish logistics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.0%), and +0.0% over 20.

• Aug 17, 2022Three more ships leave Ukrainian ports under U.N.-brokered grain deal-10.0%
• Sep 16, 2023Two ships arrive in Ukraine port to load grain-0.8%
• Sep 17, 2023First two cargo ships arrive in Ukrainian port after Russia's exit from grain deal | AP News-0.8%
• Jun 22, 2026Decrease in Freight Rates for Ukrainian Grain Exports-1.4%
• Sep 30, 2022Low River Levels, Soaring Barge Freight Curb U.S. Grain Exports+0.4%

After 359 past bearish logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Aug 17, 2022Three more ships leave Ukrainian ports under U.N.-brokered grain deal+0.3%
• Sep 30, 2022Low River Levels, Soaring Barge Freight Curb U.S. Grain Exports+1.0%
• Nov 23, 2023Ukraine's farmers pin hopes on export corridor as war cost mounts | Reuters-1.8%
• Sep 25, 2022Seven more crop-laden ships leave Ukrainian ports on Sunday-1.4%
• Sep 29, 2023Mississippi River Near Historic Lows, Grain Exports at Risk+1.9%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.